Friday, January 29, 2016

The Case for an International Space Agency

Acronym for a proposed International Astronomy and Space Organization

What if there were a space agency that made it affordable for even the poorest nations on the globe to participate in a vigorous and inspirational international space program. Such a space organization could also allow up to eight citizens from each member nation to participate as astronauts in an international astronaut corp. Funds from this international space agency  could also be used to  contribute towards the development and deployment of  space telescopes and space probes primarily being funded and developed by other space organizations.

I'll call this proposed global space agency the: 

INTERNATIONAL ASTRONOMY AND SPACE ORGANIZATION (IASO).

NASA's current funding level is over $19 billion a year (less than 0.5% of annual US Federal expenditures). Russia spends about $5.6 billion a year on its space efforts. But  I propose a membership fee for each nation participating   in the  IASO of only $50 million per year. Such a low annual membership fee for an international space program would make it affordable for even the poorest nations on Earth to participate. The small annual fee also wouldn't be large enough to significantly hurt funding levels for national space programs being financed by some of the wealthier member countries.  

But the purpose of the IASO would not be to replace existing national space programs. Instead, the IASO would utilize the existing resources and infrastructure of the various government space agencies and private commercial space companies. Doing so would  increase demand for the products and services of private aerospace companies while minimizing IASO cost for operating their space program.  This could also allow IASO astronauts from all participating nations to quickly become part of a vigorous pioneering space program. 

Future Boeing Starliner (CST-100) Commercial Crew spacecraft (Credit: Boeing Aerospace)
The countries most likely to want to participate in the IASO would be those nations that are already operating manned and unmanned space programs. That's because the products and services that the IASO is most likely to utilize will come from commercial vendors used to support the current national space programs.  The United States, of course, not only has a civilian government space program (NASA) put also has several private space companies (ULA, Space X, Boeing, Lockheed-Martin, Orbital ATK, Sierra Nevada, Bigelow Aerospace, Blue Origin, etc.) with various levels of aerospace capabilities that could be utilized by the IASO for their space efforts.  And, of course, Europe and Russia and nations like China, India, and Japan could also provide extensive space services for IASO efforts.

The ISS (International Space Station) program currently has the participation of five space agencies and 26 nations. These countries could serve as the core nations for the IASO. Since each participating nation will have equal status and votes in the IASO, including other nations with existing space launch capability such as  China, India, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Israel, South Korea and Iran could add some voting balance to an initially heavily European dominated organization.

But there are other nations with emerging space programs that could gradually be added to the IASO over the years such as:  Brazil, Argentina, Mexico, South Africa, Nigeria, Taiwan, Turkey, Pakistan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE. Of course, there would probably be more than a dozen other European nations that enjoy the status and excitement of  joining such an international space organization. Its also not difficult to imagine that economically advanced countries like  Australia and New Zealand might also want to join such an affordable space program.

In principal, the IASO could  add two member nations every year in order to maintain institutional stability. This could  engendering excitement each year for the pair of nations lucky enough to be allowed to join the international organization that particular year.

Philosophically, I believe that at least 60% of the IASO budget should be spent on its astronaut corp. And each member nation should be allowed to have up to four adult men and four adult women in the IASO astronaut program. After two years of membership, the IASO should guarantee a member nation  that  at least one of their national astronauts  will  be deployed into space every year.

Its not difficult  to imagine an IASO consisting of at least 40 permanent members quite early in its formation. At $50 million per member, such an international space agency could have  a  $2 billion annual budget with at least  $1.2 billion a year specifically dedicated to human spaceflight related activities. 

Artist rendition of future Bigelow Aerospace space hab (BA-330)(Credit: Wikipedia)
Initially, crewed IASO astronaut missions to LEO could simply require purchasing tickets to ride aboard private Commercial Crew vehicles to private commercial space stations. Bigelow Aerospace plans to charge between $26 million to $37 million for a 10 to 60 day stay aboard one of its BA-330 space habitats. But a 40 member IASO would be able spend a couple a hundred million a year to purchase its own space habitat perhaps from Bigelow, or Boeing (SLS propellant tank derived habitat), or from Russia's  RSC Energia. At least 30% of the IASO budget could also be utilized to purchase and  deploy habitats at LEO, the Earth-Moon Lagrange points, the surface of the Moon, Mars orbit, the surface of Mars, and beyond through private aerospace companies. 

A notional  16 day IASO  missions to an IASO owned LEO habitat would give IASO astronauts launch and landing experience aboard a space craft with at least 14 days of experience inside of a microgravity habitat, plus at least one or more Flexcraft and pressure suit excursions outside of the habitat modules. Such spaceflight experience might even make some IASO astronauts desirable to participate in future beyond LEO missions conducted by other major space agencies such as NASA and ESA.

Orion MPCV for deep space missions (Credit: Wikipedia)
The IASO could take part in  beyond LEO missions conducted by NASA or ESA or other major   space agencies by offering to contribute $150 million for every IASO astronaut allowed to participate in the mission. NASA currently plans to send four astronauts on beyond LEO missions aboard a spacecraft (the Orion) that could accommodate six astronauts. If two IASO astronauts were allowed to join the mission then NASA could cut the cost of the crewed mission by $300 million. A pair of  IASO astronauts, on the other hand, would be able to take part in a beyond LEO mission  for just $300 million.

Once the age of water and propellant depots arrive, commercial companies could provide IASO astronauts with frequent and affordable access to habitats on the surface of the Moon and perhaps even Mars. Eventually, the IASO could simply purchase their own habitats from private companies on the lunar and martian surface.
The IASO could eventually purchase a pair of regolith wall shielded lunar habitats from private aerospace companies which could give IASO astronauts the ability to remain on the lunar surface for months or for years.

Other IASO funding could be  contributed to international organizations involved in locating potentially dangerous asteroids and comets that could someday imperil the Earth and towards the development and deployment of new types of space telescopes and exploratory probes.

So basically, the IASO  could help other existing space agencies to finance their manned and unmanned missions while also utilizing the services and infrastructure of private space companies to minimize the cost of their own space program.  And this could allow a lot more nations, and the astronauts of those nations,  to participate in the exploration and pioneering of the Moon and Mars and the rest of the New Frontier!

Marcel F. Williams


Links and References


International Space Station

Congress Set to Give NASA $19 Billion Budget in 2016

List of Government Space Agencies

Commercial Crew Development

Orion Spacecraft

Utilizing the SLS to Build a Cis-Lunar Highway

Reusable Hoppers and Orbiters for Rapid Lunar Transportation and Exploration

 

Thursday, January 21, 2016

Syrian Refugee Children Enjoying the Snow

Syrian refugee children enjoying the snow in Canada!




And the absolute horror the  refugees are fleeing from in Syria!   

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Congress Requires NASA to Develop a Deep Space Habitat

SLS propellant tank derived DSH @ EML1 (credit NASA)
The US Congress passed an omnibus spending bill last December requiring NASA to develop a prototype deep space habitation (DSH) module no later than 2018. It also requires NASA to provide Congress with a report on how the enactment of this bill is being complied with by the first half of 2016.

NASA has viewed a DSH  as a necessary component for safely transporting humans from cis-lunar space to Mars orbit in the 2030's and also as a gateway to the lunar surface and beyond. The Earth-Moon Lagrange points EML1 and EML2 have most often been proposed as the place where a Deep Space Habitat should be deployed.

EML2 (L2) has the advantage of requiring the lowest delta-v from LEO in order to deploy the DSH into a halo orbit around the Lagrange point. But crewed journeys from LEO to L2 also has the disadvantage  of taking as long as 8 days to reach the habitat if the low delta v of 3.43 km/s is to be taken advantage of. Such a long journey would expose astronauts to two to four times as much cosmic radiation as journeying to EML1.  A higher delta-v of 3.95 km/s could transport a crew to EML2 in just four days. But this would be higher than the 3.77 km/s delta-v requirement to transport crews from LEO to EML1. EML1 also has the advantage of  a fast 2 day journey from LEO at  4.41 km/s. Such fast journeys would reduce radiation exposure while also reducing the chance of traveling during a major solar event in half. 
The Earth-Moon Lagrange points (Credit the Artemis Project)

Another, long term, disadvantage of a DSH at EML2 is that radio transmissions between the habitat and Earth could interfere with future radio telescopes deployed on the back side of the Moon in order to avoid radio interference from the Earth's surface, Earth orbit, and space craft traveling to and from the Moon. 


Delta- V budgets between LEO and EML1 or  EML2 

LEO to EML1 (~ 2 days) - 4.41 km/s dv

LEO to EML1 (~ 4 days) - 3.77 km/s dv

EML1 to Lunar Surface (~3 days) - 2.52 km/s dv

Lunar Surface to EML1  (~3 days) - 2.52 km/s dv

LEO to EML2 (~ 8 days) - 3.43 km/s dv

LEO to EML2 (~ 4 days) - 3.95 km/s dv
 
EML2 to Lunar Surface (~3 days) - 2.52 km/s dv

Lunar Surface to EML2  (~3 days) - 2.52 km/s dv

 
Aesthetically, a Deep Space Hab positioned at EML1 would probably have the most spectacular views within cis-lunar space.  An astronaut  at  EML2 would view an Earth that is slightly smaller than viewed from the front side of the Moon while the view of Earth at EML1 would be slightly larger than is seen from the lunar surface. Both EML1 and EML2 would view a Moon that is titanic in size relative to its view from the Earth. But EML2 would only be able to view the back side of the Moon while EML1 would only be able to view the front side of the Moon.

Because of the reduced time and radiation exposure to get there, the fact that an EML1  habitat wouldn't interfere with radio telescopes on the back side of the Moon, plus the aesthetic view,  I think NASA should deploy the Deep Space Hab at EML1 rather than at EML2.

The relative visual size of the Moon and Earth: at the top, the view of the Moon from the surface of the Earth or low Earth orbit; second from the top, the view of the Earth from the surface of the Moon; third from the top, the view of the Earth from EML1; at the bottom, the view of the Moon from EML1. 

The primary purposes for an EML1 (L1) Deep Space Habitat (DSH) should be to:

1. Serve as a gateway to the lunar surface. Astronauts traveling from the Earth or from the lunar surface could dock their spacecraft at the EML1 habitat, taking advantage of the larger accommodations at the DSH while transferring from one vehicle to another.  

2. Serve as a storm shelter during the occurrence of major solar events. This will probably require at least 30 cm of water shielding for the areas within the habitat that the astronauts will be occupying. Major solar events can last for several minutes or up to several hours.

3. Serve as a maintenance and repair station for reusable lunar shuttles (ETLV) and orbital transfer vehicles. Flex Craft docked at the DSH could be utilized  for extravehicular repairs to  nearby water/propellant depots and associated solar arrays at EML1.

4. Test the effectiveness of various levels of water shielding required to mitigate cosmic radiation and potentially brain damaging heavy nuclei. In theory, 30 cm of water would be enough shielding to to stop the penetration of the heavy nuclei component of cosmic rays, reduce the annual exposure of cosmic radiation in general to less than 25 Rem per year, while also significantly mitigating the effects of major solar events. While an even thicker shielding of water could reduce cosmic radiation exposure, a minimal amount of shielding will be required to minimize the mass for crewed interplanetary vehicles.

5. Test the integrity and reliability of the pressurized habitat structure which could also be used for habitats on the surface of the Moon and Mars and for rotating interplanetary artificial gravity habitats.

Its probably the intent of Congress  for NASA to design the habitat module that will transport humans safely to Mars.  But because of the inherently deleterious physical and psychological effects of a microgravity environment on human beings, its unlikely that any microgravity habitat will ever be able to accomplish this goal.

 Under microgravity conditions, astronauts can lose between 1 to 1.5% of their bone mass in a single month and without regular exercise, astronauts can lose up to 20% of their muscle mass in just 5 to 11 days. A microgravity environment can reduce  cardiovascular fitness-- possibly increasing the chances of heart attaches. And vision problems of varying degrees of severity can occur-- especially in older men. The infected spray from the cough or the sneeze an ill person on board floats in the air instead of falling to the floor, enhancing the spread of infection aboard ship-- especially in a confined environment. Unfortunately, blood flow redistribution in a microgravity environment can effect medicines ingested or injected into the human body to treat illnesses.

Returning to Earth after  a few months aboard the ISS, the blood pressure of some astronauts drops abnormally low when they move from a lying position to a sitting or standing position. Some astronauts even have problems standing up, walking, and turning and stabilizing their gaze.

Added to the serious problems above, there are other annoying problems in a microgravity environment that could enhance discomfort and psychological stress aboard ship such as:

1.  Weight loss: the less strenuous conditions diminish appetite, resulting in weigh loss which could become excessive if astronauts don't exercise and eat regularly. 

2. A degraded sense of smell and taste: your favorite foods could taste a little different under microgravity

3. Clumping of sweat and tears and perspiration: there's no gravity to force trickles of water to run off the human body 

4. Facial and speech distortions: the face becomes  puffy and the voice tone and pitch becomes more nasal. This could cause some to misinterpret another individuals expression, possibly causing tension between two individuals aboard a multiyear mission. 

5. Increased flatulence: since digestive gasses no longer rise towards the mouth, their is an increase in gas being expelled through the posterior orifice

The problems listed above could be viewed as only a minor inconvenience on short missions into space. But during long interplanetary journeys  lasting months or years, such problems could be annoying enough to enhance stress and increase tension aboard ship.

It might be possible to eliminate all of these deleterious microgravity related problems aboard an interplanetary vehicle by  simply rotating pressurized habitats in counter balancing pairs to produce a  significant level of simulated gravity. The  additional benefit of having two pressurized modules is that it also provides a back up module in case there are serious life threatening malfunctions at the other habitat module. 

Pressurized habitats capable of being used in space and on the surface of the Moon or Mars could also be used as counter balancing habitats for rotating spacecraft and space stations that produce some levels of artificial gravity. And development cost could be greatly reduced if the basic habitat pressurized tank can be used for  microgravity habitats, low gravity surface habitats, and for artificial gravity habitats.

Internal configuration of a  lunar habitat derived from  SLS propellant tank technology. A  regolith wall composed of kevlar sandwiched between eight rigid aluminum panels is deployed around the habitat cylinder and filled with regolith to protect astronauts from cosmic radiation, micrometeorites, and fluctuating temperatures on the lunar surface. The airlocks are derived from ETLV propellant tank technology.

NASA could significantly reduce development cost by utilizing SLS propellant tanks for both a DSH but also for lunar and martian habitats. The lunar and martian regolith habs that I've previously proposed would use an SLS propellant tank as a pressurized habitat. Once the habitat module is properly placed on the lunar surface, a kevlar regolith wall sandwiched between  eight three meter wide aluminum  panels would automatically deploy, allowing a lunar backhoe to deposit regolith shielding  within  the two meter cavity between the outer wall and the inner cylindrical wall.

Since crewed interplanetary voyages to Mars probably won't take place until the 2030's, serious funding by NASA for the development of artificial gravity habitats for interplanetary journeys probably won't have to start until the early 2020's. However, this doesn't mean that a  DSH habitat couldn't be designed to function as a microgravity habitat, as a  low gravity habitat, and as a simulated gravity habitat in order to reduce cost for both the cis-lunar program in the 2020's and for the Mars program in the 2030's.

If such habitats are to be used for long  interplanetary journeys  in the future, they must be as comfortably spacious as possible while also minimizing mass.  NASA is evaluating several types of potential Deep Space Habitats derived from current technology:


Habitat Modules Derived from Current Technologies

SLS full class propellant tank derived:
Dry mass: 22.4 tonnes
Habitable volume - 519 m3

SLS minimum class propellant tank derived:
Dry mass: 17.3 tonnes
Habitable volume: 353 m3 

BA-330:
Dry mass 20 to 23 tonnes
Habitable volume: 330 m3 

ISS node & MPLM:
Dry mass: 35.5 tonnes
Habitable volume: 108 m3

ISS hab & MPLM: 
Dry mass: 32 tonnes
Habitable volume: 90 m3


The ISS derived habitats only provide between 2.8 meters  to  3 meters cubed of habitable volume per tonne. The Bigelow BA-330 would provide significantly more volume, between 14 m3 and 17 meters cubed of habitable volume but within severely confined areas. The SLS propellant tank derived habitats, however,  would provide between 20 m3 and 23 m3 of habitable space per tonne (35% to 64% more habitable volume per tonne). Since SLS propellant tanks will already be in production for SLS launches, manufacturing more tanks for Deep Space Habitats and for surface habitats for the Moon and eventually for Mars should greatly reduce development cost for a Deep Space Hab. 

The  SLS Block B with its upper stage would probably only be able to deploy  about 30 to 32 tonnes of  mass  to EML1, allowing it  to  easily deploy an SLS propellant tank derived DSH to EML1. 

An SLS propellant tank technology derived DSH @ EML1. There are four docking ports for four large vehicles. There are also four docking ports for four personal Flex Craft vehicles. There is also one crew hatch for pressure suit excursions. Twin solar panels provide power for the DSH with a central heat radiator extending between them. A crewed  MPCV and a crewed ETLV-2 are docked at the DSH in preparation for an ETLV visit to an outpost on the lunar surface. A lone floating Flex Craft has been utilized to inspect the exterior of the reusable ETLV-2 before departure (MPCV: Credit: ESA).  
Internally radiation shielding two levels of the DSH habitat area within an SLS derived habitat, above and below,  with 30 centimeters of water within that same area within the 8.4 meter in diameter tank would require approximately 71 tonnes of water. If the DSH is accompanied in its halo orbit at EML1 by  nearby water/propellant depots for missions to the lunar surface then at least 30 tonnes more of water will probably be required to be sent to EML1 on an annual basis.

Internal configuration of a DSH microgravity habitat derived from SLS propellant tank technology. The pressurized interior inhabited by humans is surrounded with 30 centimeters of water to stop heavy nuclei and to mitigate the effects of major solar evens while also reducing radiation exposure for the crew to less than 25 Rem per year during solar minimum conditions. The airlocks are derived from ETLV propellant tank technology.  
Supplying  large amounts of water to EML1 could easily be accommodated by additional SLS launches.  But since NASA currently has only 16 RS-25 engines in stock from the old Space Shuttle program,  the number of SLS launch vehicles will limited to just four until until new  RS-25 engines are in production from Aerojet Rocketdyne in 2022 or 2023. This  means that an aggressive SLS program cannot really begin until 2022 or 2023.

Four of the RS-25  engines will be dedicated to an  SLS launch in 2018 to test the MPCV (Multipurpose Crew Vehicle).  Another four engines will be used by NASA for the first crewed MPCV mission beyond the Earth's magnetosphere. That only leaves enough engines available for two additional SLS launches until  new engines are in production.

One SLS launch would be enough to deploy the DSH to EML1. But a the final engines available for one more SLS launch would not be able to transport enough water to appropriately radiation shield the DSH. This could mean that DSH deployment might have to be delayed until 2022 or 2023.
 
In previous articles, I  have suggested  that NASA needs to commit itself to developing a reusable single staged Extraterrestrial Landing Vehicle (ETLV) for crewed and robotic  missions to the surface of the Moon, the moons of Mars, and to the Martian surface (with an ADEPT or HIAD deceleration shield).  An essential component of a reusable ETLV would be an ETLV derived water/propellant depot (WPD) that would be capable of using solar electricity to produce LOX and LH2 from water. Serious funding from Congress for  the development of the ETLV and the associated landing vehicles and orbiting depots derived from it should start in 2017, in my opinion, at a funding level of at least $1.5 billion per year.


An ETLV derived and SLS deployed water/propellant depot at EML1 near solar power station. The solar powered facility would be capable of storing up to 100 tonnes of water while also producing and storing up to 60 tonnes of LOX/LH2 propellant. 

In 2020 or 2021, a WPD could be deployed to  LEO with at least 50 tonnes of water using no SLS upper stage or 80 tonnes of water with an upper stage.   At LEO, the WPD  would  electrolyze water into hydrogen and oxygen and then  liquefy and store the hydrogen and oxygen within five propellant tanks capable of storing up to 60 tonnes of rocket propellant. The WPD would then self deploy itself into a halo orbit at EML1.

Once a WPD has been deployed to EML1 then private commercial providers could deliver water to EML1. Space X will be testing its new Falcon Heavy in 2016. Such a vehicle might be able to supply 10 to 15  tonnes of water to EML1 per launch. The ULA also has plans to develop a heavy lift version of their future Vulcan rocket  (the Vulcan Heavy) which should also be capable of delivering 10 to 15 tonnes of water to EML1 per launch. So starting in 2020, commercial launches could be used to deliver 10 to 15 tonnes of water per month to EML1 (120 to 180 tonnes per year). Monthly commercial water deliveries will continue to EML1 until  lunar water manufacturing and exporting facilities on the lunar surface are complete in the middle or late 2020's.


Artist rendition of Space X Falcon Heavy (Credit: Wikipedia)


Artist rendition of ULA Vulcan Heavy

Once the water has been delivered to EML1 and fairly close (within a few hundred meters) of the water/propellant depot, the WPD will rendezvous with the water tankers, extracting and depositing the water with WPD's water tank. The WPD will dock at an solar power station where it will use that power to convert some of the water into LOX and LH2 while storing the rest.

After the DSH is deployed to EML1, the WPD will also rendezvous with the DSH,  transferring water to the habitat for radiation shielding, drinking, and air production. Once ETLV spacecraft are ready for robotic and crewed missions to the lunar surface, they will be fueled by the WPD at EML1.

 The last remaining engines from the Shuttle era can then be used to launch the MPCV to EML1, testing the ability of the SLS to deliver astronauts safely to the Earth-Moon Lagrange points while also checking out the integrity and functionality of the Deep Space Habitat.

Since long periods of time under  microgravity conditions  is inherently deleterious to human health,  time aboard the DSH at EML1  should be constrained. For astronauts over the age of 40, the most vulnerable astronauts to microgravity visual damage,  I'd limit missions confined to microgravity environments to only 16 days. For astronauts under the age of 40, I'd limit the stay at EML1 to less than 31 days. Such short stays at EML1 would ensure that the astronauts would not receive enough radiation in the DSH to prevent them from participating in future interplanetary missions where they will be exposed to months and even years of cosmic radiation bombardment.

While thicker water shielding for the DSH could further reduce radiation exposure, it would also add substantial amounts of  mass to an interplanetary vessel. One of the goals of the DSH should be to replicate conditions for astronauts aboard an interplanetary vessel. So the DSH should only provided with enough water shielding similar to that of an interplanetary vehicle. And an interplanetary habitat only has to be shielded to a  level that would enable astronauts to complete a three year round trip to and from Mars and Mars orbit without exposing them to more than 50% of the recommended lifetime radiation exposure recommended by NASA-- which would be about 100 Rem for the least vulnerable passengers (women 25 years of age).


Links and References


Spending Bill To Accelerate NASA Habitation Module Work

Deep Space Habitats

Commonality between Reduced Gravity and Microgravity Habitats for Long Duration Missions

Building an L1 depot in phases

Habitat Concepts for Deep Space Exploration

NASA Mega-Rocket Could Lead to Skylab 2 Deep Space Station

BA-330

Solar Storm and Space Weather

Cosmic Radiation and the New Frontier

 NASA Contracts Production of New RS-25 Engines for the Space Launch System

SLS Fuel Tank Derived Artificial Gravity Habitats, Interplanetary Vehicles, & Fuel Depots 

ULA Future Full Spectrum Lift Capability

The SLS and the Case for a Reusable Lunar Lander



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Destination Moon

glennwsmith said... Very nice, Marcel. This is one of the most beautifully put together, forward-looking, and yet also understated videos which I've yet seen from a major space agency -- and it just goes to show that there's a lot of good material out there if you know where to find it.

Regards,
G. W. (Glenn) Smith

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michael jordan said...

Stena Germanica RoPax ferry is the first commercial marine vessel to run on Methanol.It is the largest ferry in the Nordic region and second biggest Ro-Pax ferry in the world.For this overall project cost comes to nearly $25.5m.It measures 240m long and 29m wide and lane metres of 3,907m.It is going to accommodate 300 cars and 1,300 passengers and freight capacity of 46,353t.

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